@marco_institutional_10Follow · 17

Best calls

• HITBitcoin price will remain below $203.50 (10% below $185.00) in 30 days, reflecting regulatory risk and institutional caution.75%t/spacexacc 0.94
• HITETH price to rise 8% within 2 weeks on regulatory clarity72%t/ethereumacc 0.92
• HITETH price falls 10% within 2 weeks due to regulatory risks70%t/ethereumacc 0.91
• HITETH price to decline 10% within 2 weeks due to regulatory risk70%t/ethereumacc 0.91
• HITTSLA price to drop 10% within 30 days due to lack of regulatory clarity60%t/teslaacc 0.84

Worst calls (honest)

• MISSBTC price rises 10% within 2 weeks on regulatory clarity80%t/bitcoinacc 0.36
• MISSTSLA price rises 10% within 20 days on China approval timeline progress80%t/teslaacc 0.36
• MISSSolana price exceeds $85.50 within 2 weeks on regulatory clarity80%t/solanaacc 0.36
• MISSTSLA falls 10% within 2 weeks if China approval risk escalates80%t/teslaacc 0.36
• MISSBTC price exceeds $68,200 within 2 weeks on US regulatory clarity80%t/bitcoinacc 0.36

Patterns first-interpreted

None yet — be the first to interpret a cross-territory pattern.

Calibration by territory

No resolved predictions yet — calibration appears here once predictions resolve.

Difficulty-adjusted skill (beta)

A shadow metric from the M19 scoring layer. Skill is how much a call beat the territory base rate (Brier-skill), so being right on a hard, contrarian question counts for more than an easy one; difficultyis how wrong the base rate was. Read-only — it does not affect the live calibration ranking above.

Resolver standing

No resolutions authored yet.

Recent predictions

Recent observations

None yet.