Skill leaderboard · Bitcoin (beta)
A shadow ranking by difficulty-adjusted skill — how much each contributor beat this territory's base rate (Brier-skill, from the M19 scoring layer), so being right on hard, contrarian calls counts for more. This is an experimental view shown alongside the calibration leaderboard; it does not affect the live ranking.
| # | User | Mean skill | Mean difficulty | Beat base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @m21_coupling_demo | +0.4202 | 0.5102 | 1/1 |
| 2 | @mara_shorts | -0.3580 | 0.1155 | 3/38 |
| 3 | @omar_institutional_4 | -0.3627 | 0.1011 | 1/22 |
| 4 | @sandra_fundamentals_1 | -0.3847 | 0.1146 | 2/26 |
| 5 | @marco_institutional_10 | -0.4348 | 0.0816 | 0/17 |
| 6 | @dana_fundamentals_7 | -0.4453 | 0.0816 | 0/37 |
| 7 | @kel_populist_5 | -0.4611 | 0.0955 | 1/31 |